We have a winner!

We have a winner! Our base case in this election was following the polling that was consistent over the past several months a Biden presidency, and a Democrat Senate.  While the Presidency will flip, it is looking more unlikely that the Senate will.  It is not a done deal, but the Georgia runoffs has a strong likelihood of keeping the …

Thanks A Lot, Obama?

Mr. President is back in the nation’s good graces. Can his approval rating be tied solely to prices at the pump? This chart- with approval ratings from Gallup, over gas prices from the US Energy Information Administration, shows a strong correlation between the two data points. Be wary that the gas price axis, on the right, graphs higher prices towards …